As I have previously written, the Kentucky Derby is a notoriously difficult race to handicap. It is a 20 horse scrum that depends on gate position, start, luck, and finishing talent. One thing to avoid: speedsters. Much more often than not, the horse that takes the early lead can’t sustain it. Here are my picks:
Take the trifecta box on:
1) Friesan Fire
2) Papa Clem
3) Dunkirk
For your longshot, take Summer Bird to win.
And for what it’s worth, I Want Revenge and Pioneer of the Nile could easily be in the money.
Here’s the Daily Racing Form’s Past Performances sheet.